Reverse Engineering a Fix and Flip
Work backward from your profit target to determine your maximum offer. The formula that prevents overpaying.
The Fix and Flip Formula
Most investors start with a property and work forward: "What's it worth after repairs? What profit is left?"
Smart investors work backward: "I need $50K profit. After rehab, holding costs, and selling costs, what's my max offer?"
Backward Formula:
Real Example
Property Location: Jacksonville, single-family home
After-Repair Value: $350,000 (verified by comps)
Breakdown:
- ARV: $350,000
- Rehab costs: −$60,000
- Holding costs (6 months): −$12,000 (taxes, insurance, utilities)
- Selling costs (6%): −$21,000
- Loan origination: −$5,000
- Profit target: −$50,000
- Contingency buffer (5%): −$17,500
Maximum Offer: $184,500
If you offer $220,000, you've already lost $35,500. This is how investors overpay.
Key Variables Explained
Rehab Costs
Get contractor quotes. Don't estimate. Most first-time flippers underestimate by 20-30%.
Holding Costs
Property taxes, insurance, utilities, HOA. In Florida, roughly $2,000/month. Typical flip is 5-7 months.
Selling Costs
Agent commission (5-6%), title insurance, closing costs. Total: ~6-7% of sale price.
Contingency
Buffer for unexpected costs (permits, structural issues, market shifts). 5-10% of rehab budget.
Common Mistakes
- Skipping contingency: "Perfect estimate, no buffer needed." Then something goes wrong.
- Underestimating holding costs: Banks charge interest. Taxes don't stop. 6 months adds up fast.
- Overpaying for emotional reasons: "This is the deal!" Logic-based offers work better.
- Unrealistic ARV: If comps don't support it, the formula fails.
- Forgetting loan costs: Origination fees, appraisals, underwriting. Add 1-2% of loan amount.
Pro Tip: Scale Your Profit Target
Market conditions matter. In strong seller's markets, you might target $30-35K profit on a $350K flip. In buyer's markets, $50-75K is realistic.
Adjust your profit target based on local market conditions, not your emotional attachment to a property.
Ready to Fund Your Next Flip?
Once you reverse-engineer your numbers, Sean can get you financing quickly.
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